2025年第80期(总第1121期)

演讲主题：Mitigating Supply Disruptions with Endogenous Capacity Priority

主讲人：王文斌 上海财经大学教授

主持人：关旭 供应链管理与系统工程系主任、教授

活动时间：2025年11月11日（周二）10:00-11:30

活动地址: 管院大楼105教室

主讲人简介：

王文斌，上海财经大学商学院教授，运营管理系主任，商务分析教研室主任。获上海交通大学计算机系学士学位，美国印第安纳大学Kelley商学院运营与决策科学博士学位，擅长可持续运营管理、统计学习与决策优化、机制设计理论。研究成果在《Management Science》、《Manufacturing & Service Operations Management》、《Games and Economic Behavior》、《管理科学学报》等管理学、经济学国内外优秀期刊发表。兼职上海市“数据科技与决策前沿科学研究基地”副主任、上海财经大学“数实融合与智能决策交叉实验室”联合负责人，为多家国内外知名企业提供数据驱动的商业决策支持。

活动简介：

This study examines how a capacity-constrained supplier should allocate output when two competing manufacturers invest to improve the supplier’s reliability under disruption risk. Using a game-theoretic model with Cournot competition, we compare three capacity-allocation rules: order-based, lexicographic, and a novel investment-based rule, while allowing the supplier to set strategic wholesale prices that respond to potential gaming. The preferred mechanism depends on market size relative to the supplier’s capacity. In larger markets, the investment-based allocation induces higher reliability investment, although it may not always maximize the supplier’s profit. In smaller markets, the lexicographic allocation best improves joint profits. Optimal wholesale pricing is neither monotonic nor continuous and is pivotal for balancing capacity utilization with risk reduction. From a managerial perspective, matching allocation rules to market conditions, and pairing them with thoughtful pricing, enhances profitability and supply chain resilience.