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  • 鲍玉昆

    教授
  • 所属单位

    工商管理系
  • 研究方向

    商业预测与决策、营销科学、电子商务/互联网经济商业模式、商务谈判理论与实务、E-learning/E-health
  • 电  话

    +86-27-87558579

    电子邮件

    yukunbao@126.com

教育背景

博士后:华中科技大学计算机科学与技术流动站(2002.7-2004.10)

  

博 士:华中科技大学管理科学与工程专业(1999-2002)

  

硕 士:华中理工大学管理科学与工程专业(1996-1999)

  

学 士:华中理工大学管理信息系统专业(1992-1996)

海外访问/进修

沙特阿拉伯阿卜杜拉阿齐兹国王大学访问教授 (2017.10)

澳大利亚纽卡斯尔大学访问教授 (2015-to date, regular visit)

香港城市大学商学院访问教授(田家炳基金资助)(2014.12)

英国兰卡斯特大学预测研究中心/管理学院Visiting Research Fellow (2005-2007)

讲授课程

《商业数据挖掘》(教育部-IBM 精品课程建设项目)、《ERP沙盘模拟》、《商务英语》、《管理信息系统》(国际课程)

行业经验

中国广东核电集团大亚湾核电运营管理有限公司挂职工作(2004-2005)

国家自然科学基金委员会管理学部/信息科学部同行评议专家

浙江省自然科学基金委员会外省同行评议专家

湖北省经济与信息化委员会项目评审专家

湖北省国有资产管理委员会项目评审专家

济南市政府泉城特聘专家

孟加拉国总理办公室a2i项目(UNDP、USAID)咨询顾问

企业咨询

主持国家电网、中国广东核电集团、中国三峡集团、IBM等知名企业科技与管理咨询项目10余项

研究领域

能源与商业预测(人工智能与大数据)、商业数据分析、信息系统(医疗与教育)、电力市场

代表性科研项目

学术研究项目

[1] 主持国家自然科学基金面上项目(71871101)大数据环境下基于计算智能的预测建模技术及其在电力负荷预测中的应用 (2019-2022)

[2]主持国家自然科学基金面上项目(71571080)基于多输出支持向量回归的预测技术研究 (2016-2019)

[3]主持教育部人文社会科学规划项目(13YJA630002)基于互联网搜索数据的预测技术研究 (2014-2016)

[4]主持国家自然科学基金面上项目(70771042)智能支持向量回归预测技术研究 (2008-2010)

[5]主持国家自然科学基金青年项目(70401015)基于支持向量机预测技术的不常用备件库存控制模型研究 (2005-2007)

行业研究项目

[1]主持国家电网管理咨询项目-适应可再生能源配额制的跨省区交易机制及策略研究 (2019)

[2]主持国家电网科技项目- 渝鄂直流运行条件下华中消纳西南水电交易电量库模型建立与效益分析(2019)

[3] 共同主持国家电网管理咨询项目-华中电网安全绿色调度管理机制及支撑体系提升研究 (2018)

[4] 共同主持国家电网科技项目-跨省区电力市场条件下的大容量输电优化与辅助服务的分担共享等技术研究 (2016)

[5] 共同主持国家电网管理咨询项目-利用抽蓄电站消纳清洁能源新型市场模式研究 (2015)

[6] 主持教育部-IBM产学合作项目 商业数据挖掘 (2011)

[7] 主持教育部-IBM产学合作项目 商业预测案例与实验 (2013)

另2002年-2010年期间主持中国广东核电集团、中国三峡集团科技项目7项。

学术任职

Associate editor - Neurocomputing (Elsevier)

Associate editor – Journal of Systems and Information Technology (Emerald)

中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会青年工作委员会常务理事

中国计算机模拟学会常务理事

中国决策科学学会常务理事

IEEE Wuhan Section, Professional Activities Chair

IEEE Senior Member

《管理学报》英文编辑

学术活动

Co-Chair/Session Chair/PC member

AITIC2016, ACALCI2015-2016, ICSI2015, WHICEB2014-2015, ITISE2014-2015, CSO2008-2014, BIFE2008- 2014, ICOTA 8, etc.

Invited Talks

WHICEB2014-2019, MoE-IBM workshops in Business Analytics and Big Data (2012,2015),中国科协第281次青年科学家论坛

代表性文章

Computational Intelligence/Forecasting Analytics

1、Tao Xiong, Chongguang Li, and Yukun Bao*. Seasonal forecasting of agricultural commodity price using a hybrid STL and ELM method: Evidence from the vegetable market in China. Neurocomputing, 2018, 275: 2831-2844. (SCI)

2、Atuahene S, Bao Y*, Ziggah Y, et al. Short-Term Electric Power Forecasting Using Dual-Stage Hierarchical Wavelet-Particle Swarm Optimization-Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System PSO-ANFIS Approach Based On Climate Change[J]. Energies, 2018, 11(10): 2822. (SCI)

3、Zhongyi, Hu, Yukun Bao*, Raymond, Chiong., & Tao Xiong. Profit Guided or Statistical Error Guided? A Study of Stock Index Forecasting Using Support Vector Regression. Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2017, 30(6), 1425-1442.(SCI)

4、Tao Xiong, Chongguang Li, and Yukun Bao*. An improved EEMD-based hybrid approach for the short-term forecasting of hog price in China. Agricultural Economics (Zemědělská Ekonomika) 63.3 (2017): 136-148. (SSCI)

5、Tao Xiong, Chongguang Li, and Yukun Bao*. Interval-valued time series forecasting using a novel hybrid Holt I and MSVR model." Economic Modelling, 60 (2017): 11-23. (SSCI)

6、Tao Xiong, Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu, Raymond Chiong. Forecasting Interval Time Series Using Fully Complex-valued RBF Neural Network with DPSO and PSO Algorithm. , Information Sciences, 2015, 305:77-92. (SCI, IF:3.893)DOI: 10.1016/j.ins.2015.01.029

7、Zhongyi Hu, Yukun Bao*, Raymond Chiong. Mid-term Interval Load Forecasting using Multi-output Support Vector Regression with a Memetic Algorithm for Feature Selection. Energy, 2015, 84:419-431. (SCI, IF:4.159, ESI highly cited paper) DOI:10.1016/j.energy.2015.03.054

8、Zhongyi Hu, Yukun Bao*, Tao Xiong, Raymond Chiong. Hybrid Filter-Wrapper Feature Selection for Short-Term Load Forecasting. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 2015, 40:17-27. DOI:10.1016/j.engappai.2014.12.014 (SCI, IF:1.962, ESI highly cited paper)

9、Tao Xiong, Chongguang, Li, Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu, Lu Zhang. A Combination Method for Interval Forecasting of Agricultural Commodity Futures Prices. Knowledge-based Systems. 2015, 77:87-100. DOI:10.1016/j.knosys.2015.01.002. (SCI, IF:3.058)

10、Zhongyi Hu, Yukun Bao*, Tao Xiong. Comprehensive Learning Particle Swarm Optimization based Memetic Algorithm for Model Selection in Short-term Load Forecasting using Support Vector Regression. Applied Soft Computing, 2014, 25:15-25. DOI:10.1016/j.asoc.2014.09.007 (SCI, IF:2.679)

11、Yukun Bao*, Tao Xiong, Zhongyi Hu. PSO-MISMO Modeling Strategy for Multi-Step-Ahead Time Series Prediction (Regular paper). IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics (IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part B), 2014, 44(5): 655-668. DOI: 10.1109/TCYB.2013.2265084. (SCI, IF:3.781, ESI highly cited paper)

12、Tao Xiong, Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu. Interval Forecasting of Electricity Demand: A Novel Bivariate EMD-based Support Vector Regression Modeling Framework. International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems. 2014, 63:353-362. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2014.06.010. (SCI, IF:3.432)

13、Yukun Bao*, Tao Xiong, Zhongyi Hu, Multi-Step-Ahead Time Series Prediction using Multiple-Output Support Vector Regression. Neurocomputing, 2014, 129: 482-493. DOI:10.1016/j.neucom.2013.09.010 (SCI, IF:2.005, ESI highly cited paper)

14、Tao Xiong, Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu. Multiple-output support vector regression with firefly algorithm for interval-valued stock price index forecasting. Knowledge-based Systems. 2014, 55:87-100. DOI:10.1016/j.knosys.2013.10.012. (SCI, IF:3.058, ESI highly cited paper)

15、Tao Xiong, Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu. Does Restraining End Effect Matter in EMD-Based Modeling Framework for Time Series Prediction? Some Experimental Evidences. Neurocomputing. 2014, 123:174-184. DOI: 10.1016/ j.neucom.2013.07.004, (SCI, IF:2.005, ESI highly cited paper)

16、Tao Xiong, Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu. Beyond One-Step-Ahead Forecasting: Evaluation of Alternative Multi-Step-Ahead Forecasting Models for Crude Oil Price. Energy Economics. 2013, 40:405-415. DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.07.028 .(SSCI, IF:2.538)

17、Yukun Bao*, Zhongyi Hu, Tao Xiong. A PSO and Pattern Search based Memetic Algorithm for SVMs Parameters Optimization. Neurocomputing, 2013, 117: 98-106. (SCI, IF: 1.634, ESI highly cited paper, ESI hot paper)

Information Systems/E-learning/E-health/E-government

1、Thongsri, N., Shen, L., & Bao, Y*. (2019). Investigating factors affecting learner’s perception toward online learning: Evidencefrom ClassStart Application in Thailand. Behaviour & Information Technology, 1–16. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1080/0144929X.2019.1581259

2、Thongsri, N., Shen, L., & Bao, Y*. (2019). Investigating Academic Major Differences in perception of Computer Self-efficacy and Intention toward E-learning Adoption in China. Innovations in Education and Teaching International, 1–13. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1080/14703297.2019.1585904

3、Talukder, Md Shamim; Chiong, Raymond; Bao, Yukun* and Malik, Babur Hayat. "Acceptance and use predictors of fitness wearable technology and intention to recommend: An empirical study." Industrial Management & Data Systems 119, no. 1 (2019): 170-188. (SCI,SSCI)

4、Aboobucker Ilmudeen, and Yukun Bao*. "Mediating role of managing information technology and its impact on firm performance: insight from China." Industrial Management & Data Systems, 2018, 118(4): 912-929. (SCI, SSCI)

5、Quaosar, GM Azmal Ali, Md Rakibul Hoque, and Yukun Bao*. "Investigating Factors Affecting Elderly's Intention to Use m-Health Services: An Empirical Study." Telemedicine and e-Health 24, no. 4 (2018): 309-314. (SCI)

6、Yukun Bao, *, Rakibul Hoque, and Shiyu Wang. Investigating the determinants of Chinese adult children’s intention to use online health information for their aged parents. International Journal of Medical Informatics 102 (2017): 12-20. (SCI, IF:2.363)

7、Md. Rakibul Hoque, Yukun Bao* & Golam Sorwar Investigating Factors Influencing the Adoption of e-Health in Developing Countries: A Patient’s Perspective. Informatics for Health and Social Care, 2017, 42(1), 1-17. (SCI, IF:0.735)

8、Alshibly H, Chiong R, Bao Y. Investigating the Critical Success Factors for Implementing Electronic Document Management Systems in Governments: Evidence From Jordan[J]. Information Systems Management, 2016, 33(4): 287-301.(SSCI)

9、MD Rakibul Hoque, Abu Naser Mohammad Saif, Adnan Mustafa AlBar,Yukun Bao*. Adoption of Information and Communication Technology for Development: A Case Study of Small and Medium Enterprises in Bangladesh. Information Development, 2016,32(4):986-1000. (SSCI, IF:0.787)

10、Hoque M R, Bao Y. Application of Big Data in Healthcare: Opportunities, Challenges and Techniques. Managing Big Data Integration in the Public Sector, 2015: 149.

11、MD Rakibul Hoque, Yukun Bao*. Cultural Influence on Adoption and Use of E-health: Evidence in Bangladesh. Telemedicine and e-Health, 2015, 21(10):845-851. doi: 10.1089/tmj.2014.0128 (SCI, IF:1.668)

12、Md Shamsul Arefin, Md Rakibul Hoque, and Yukun Bao*. (2015). The impact of business intelligence on organization’s effectiveness: an empirical study. Journal of Systems and Information Technology, 17(3), 263-285. DOI:10.1108/JSIT-09-2014-0067

13、Mboni Kibelloh, Yukun Bao*. Perceptions of International Female Students Towards E-learning in Resolving High Education and Family Role Strain. Journal of Educational Computing Research, 2014, 50(4):471-491. (SSCI, IF:0.659)

14、MD Rakibul Hoque, Md. Fahami Ahsan Mazmum, Yukun Bao*. E-health in Bangladesh: Current Status, Challenges, and Future Direction. The International Technology Management Review, 2014, 4(2):87-96.

15、Mboni Kibelloh, Yukun Bao*. Can Online MBA Program Balance Work, Family and Career Aspirations of Professional Working Mothers? A Case Study in China. Asia Pacific Education Researcher, 2014, 23(2): 249-260.. DOI: 10.1007/s40299-013-0101-1. (SSCI, IF:0.793)

16、Yukun Bao*, Tao Xiong, Zhongyi Hu, Mboni Kibelloh. Exploring gender differences on general and specific computer self-efficacy in mobile learning adoption. Journal of Educational Computing Research, 2013, 49(1):111-132. (SSCI, IF:0.44)

在国内外重要期刊和会议上发表近70篇论文,其中第一/通讯作者SCI/SSCI收录43篇,详见Google Scholar 和 ResearchGate,ESI热点论文1篇,ESI高引用论文6篇,学术谷歌引用1400+,SCI/SSCI 引用 500+,个人H=17 (Web of Science,2018.12)

获奖

第十届湖北省社会科学优秀成果奖(2016)

湖北省高等学校人文社会科学研究优秀成果二等奖 (2016)

广东省科技进步三等奖(2006)

湖北省科技进步三等奖(2005)

全国电力行业管理创新三等奖 (2003)

教育部-IBM高校合作项目优秀教师奖(2012)

湖北省优秀博士学位论文指导奖(2016)

湖北省优秀硕士学位论文指导奖(2013)

湖北省优秀学士论文(一等)指导奖(2005,2007,2009)